HubesHub Business Plan

Business strategy, targets, and growth plan — separate from the technical project plan.

Business Overview

HubesHub is a refurbished OEM auto parts reseller specializing in Ford, Dodge, Jeep, and Chevy interior and electronic components. Core product lines: clock springs, immobilizers (SKIM/PATS/SKREEM), ABS modules, ECMs, fuse boxes/TIPMs, throttle bodies, shift assemblies, and interior trim.

Channels: eBay (primary revenue, 99.9% feedback, 3.1K items sold) + Shopify (hubeshub.com, growing direct channel)

Sourcing: Local salvage yards (5 yards actively scraped for inventory), plus wholesale opportunities

Team: Chris (operations, sourcing, listing, fulfillment), Jodi (sourcing automation), Steve (technology partner)

Where We Are Today

Combined Revenue (12 months)
$198K
eBay $110.7K · Shopify $87.4K
Total Orders
2,147
eBay 1,249 · Shopify 898
Active Listings
949
724 Shopify · 225 eBay
Avg Order Value
$92
eBay $89 · Shopify $97

Key insight: eBay is already the larger revenue channel at $110.7K vs Shopify's $87.4K. Combined March 2026 was the best month at over $106K — eBay drove $51.7K and Shopify $54.7K. The business is already operating at a $200K+ annual run rate across both channels.

Channel Comparison

  • eBay: $110.7K revenue, 1,249 orders, $89 AOV, ~13% fees ($14.4K in fees paid)
  • Shopify: $87.4K revenue, 898 orders, $97 AOV, ~3.2% processing fees ($2.8K in fees paid)
  • Fee savings opportunity: Every $1K shifted from eBay to Shopify saves ~$100 in fees

Business Targets

These targets assume the automation phases are executed on schedule. They should be reviewed and adjusted quarterly with Chris.

Targets recalibrated: With combined revenue already at $198K/year and March hitting $106K in a single month, our original targets were too conservative. The numbers below reflect what the data actually shows is achievable.

Near-Term (3 months — July 2026)

  • Sustain $50K+/month combined revenue — March proved $106K is possible; maintain $50K+ as the floor
  • Pricing engine live on both platforms — automated market-based price suggestions for eBay and Shopify listings
  • Data quality cleanup — SKUs, tags, and product types populated on 100% of Shopify products
  • Zero "ghost listings" — all active products reflect real inventory (fix the 489 zero-stock listings)
  • Average order value ≥ $100 — up from $92 combined, driven by better pricing on high-value parts

Mid-Term (6 months — October 2026)

  • $75K+/month combined revenue — scale from the $50K floor toward the March peak consistently
  • Shopify ≥ 50% of revenue — currently at 44%; shift eBay volume to Shopify to reduce fee dependency
  • 1,500+ active listings — scale from 949 via automated listing assistant
  • Avg days to sell < 45 — tracked by the inventory health monitor
  • M2E Cloud retired — replaced by custom inventory sync
  • Schema.org markup on all product pages — SEO/AEO ready

Long-Term (12 months — April 2027)

  • $150K+/month combined revenue — sustained growth across both channels
  • 3,000+ active listings
  • Shopify organic traffic ≥ 30% of sessions — driven by SEO, blog content, and AEO
  • Fully automated sourcing pipeline — yard shopping lists ranked by ROI, with cost basis and sell-through probability
  • Evaluate third channel (Amazon, Facebook Marketplace) based on ROI data

Revenue Strategy

1. Price Smarter (Phase 1)

Current pricing is largely manual on both platforms. The pricing engine will use eBay market data to ensure every listing — on both eBay and Shopify — is competitively priced. Catches underpriced items (leaving money on the table) and overpriced items (sitting too long).

Expected impact: 5-15% margin improvement on existing inventory without adding a single new listing.

2. List Faster (Phase 2)

The listing assistant will reduce the time from "part on the shelf" to "live on both platforms." Photo + part number → draft listing with suggested price, category, fitment data, and description — published to eBay and Shopify simultaneously.

Expected impact: 2-3x increase in listing throughput. More listings = more surface area for sales.

3. Own the Customer (Phase 3)

Every Shopify sale saves ~10% vs. eBay fees. At current volumes, eBay fees are ~$14.4K/year vs Shopify's ~$2.8K. Driving traffic directly to hubeshub.com through SEO, structured data, blog content, and social media is the highest-leverage long-term play.

Expected impact: Shifting 30% of eBay volume to Shopify saves ~$3.3K/year at current revenue. At $150K/month combined, the savings scale to $40K+/year.

4. Source Smarter (Phase 4)

Jodi's yard shopping lists are already strong. Adding eBay pricing data turns them from "what to pull" into "what to pull first" — ranked by expected ROI. This means less time at yards, better parts, higher margins.

Expected impact: Fewer unprofitable pulls, better capital allocation, faster inventory turns.

Cost Structure

Current Costs

  • eBay fees: ~13% final value fee + Basic Store subscription ($21.95/mo) — ~$14.4K/year at current volume
  • Shopify: Basic plan ($39/mo) + payment processing (~2.9% + $0.30) — ~$2.8K/year at current volume
  • M2E Cloud: Subscription for eBay/Shopify sync (to be retired)
  • Sourcing: Yard pull costs (varies by part, $2-$275 per PartPrices data)
  • Combined platform fees: ~$17.2K/year (8.7% of $198K revenue)

New Costs (Automation)

  • Supabase: Free tier (current usage well within limits)
  • Azure Static Web Apps: Free tier
  • Anthropic API: For AI-powered agents (Phase 2) — usage-based, estimate TBD based on agent frequency
  • eBay Store upgrade: Under evaluation (GitHub issue #5) — Premium ($59.95/mo) may pay for itself in lower fees

Competitive Edge

Most auto parts resellers on eBay operate manually — copy-paste listings, gut-feel pricing, no cross-platform strategy. HubesHub's advantages:

  • Data-driven pricing — market-based suggestions, not guesswork
  • Automated sourcing intelligence — Jodi's scraper pipeline is already ahead of competitors who walk yards blindly
  • Dual-channel presence — eBay for reach, Shopify for margin. Most competitors are single-channel.
  • 99.9% feedback — trust and reputation are a moat. Automation must protect this, never risk it.
  • Specialization — focus on interior/electronic components builds expertise and repeat customers
  • OEM part number coverage — structured data and SEO make HubesHub findable when competitors aren't
  • Unified data pipeline — both channels feeding into one analytics system enables insights competitors can't get

Risks & Mitigations

  • Platform dependency — eBay or Shopify could change terms, raise fees, or restrict API access. Mitigation: dual-channel strategy, growing Shopify direct traffic, staying fully compliant.
  • Automation errors — a pricing bug could underprice high-value inventory. Mitigation: human-in-the-loop for all actions, price floor guardrails, gradual rollout.
  • Data quality — the 489 zero-stock listings, missing SKUs, and incomplete metadata reduce conversion rates today. Mitigation: this is the first Phase 1 cleanup task.
  • Sourcing competition — other resellers may be scraping the same yards. Mitigation: speed (first to pull), ROI ranking (pull the right parts), and Jodi's existing relationships.
  • Scaling capacity — Chris is currently hands-on for every listing and shipment. Mitigation: listing assistant reduces per-item time; long-term, evaluate hiring for fulfillment.
  • API reliability — both eBay and Shopify APIs can break or change without notice. Mitigation: monitoring, alerting, retry/backoff on all API calls, and proactive version management.
  • eBay token expiry — current OAuth token is time-limited with no automated refresh. Mitigation: implement refresh token flow and expiry alerting (tracked in GitHub issues).

Key Milestones

  • April 2026: eBay + Shopify APIs connected, inventory data in Supabase, BI report with aggregate + per-channel views delivered ✅
  • April 2026: Dashboard modernization — shared design system, cross-page navigation, mobile UX ✅
  • May 2026: Pricing engine MVP — suggested prices on all active listings (both platforms)
  • June 2026: Data quality cleanup complete — SKUs, tags, inventory accuracy at 100%
  • July 2026: Inventory Health Monitor agent running daily
  • August 2026: Listing Assistant — photo-to-draft workflow operational (dual-platform publish)
  • September 2026: Shopify SEO overhaul — schema.org markup, 10+ blog posts
  • October 2026: Custom inventory sync replaces M2E Cloud
  • November 2026: ROI-ranked shopping lists for all 5 yards
  • Q1 2027: Evaluate third channel expansion based on data